Provincial & Local Analysis
December 19, 2024
Canadian Housing Outlook: Sunnier Skies Ahead
A major change relative to our September projection is the steep upside surprise that we’re tracking for Canadian home sales growth in the fourth quarter of 2024. Indeed, sales probably chalked up a gain of about 12% q/q in Q4, lifted by B.C. and Ontario.
November 14, 2024
Ontario’s Industry-based Outlook: Navigating Turbulent Waters
Ontario’s industry-based GDP managed to increase at a slightly faster year-on-year pace than the rest of Canada in the first half this year. This is noteworthy given that the province has had the weakest housing market in the country and is home to rate-sensitive, highly indebted households.
July 18, 2024
Policymakers Take Note: Population Growth is Easing in the Atlantic
Population growth remains incredibly strong in the Atlantic Region. However, it is easing from sky-high rates, just as other parts of the country appear to be holding firm. We anticipate this trend towards slower population growth in the Atlantic will persist, marking a very important development for a region where economic growth has broadly benefitted more from recent population inflows.
