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Latest Research
Loonie Tunes: Playing Second Fiddle to the Greenback
The Loonie has lost substantial ground to the greenback this year, a fate it shares with several other major G10 currencies.
July 09, 2026
Latest Research
Zero Isn’t Zero Everywhere: The Provincial Divide in Breakeven Job Growth
Canada’s breakeven pace of job growth has fallen sharply alongside population and labour force growth. National employment can now be close to flat without pushing the unemployment rate higher.
July 08, 2026
Updated Publications
Provincial Resale Market Outlook: Flickers in Ontario and B.C., Cooling Elsewhere
National sales are expected to grind higher through 2026H2, supported by pent-up demand and lower bond yields, but remain below pre-pandemic norms until the second half of 2027.
July 03, 2026
Trending
Canadian Consumer Price Index (May 2026)
Headline CPI inflation jumped up to 3.2% year-on-year (y/y) in May up from 2.8% in April, above consensus expectations. Higher prices at the pump were the main culprit, with inflation ex-gasoline up a more modest 2.2% y/y.
June 22, 2026
Trending
Read the Fine Print: The Bank of Canada’s Mortgage Warning Is About Refinancing, Not Renewal
The household chapter of the Bank of Canada's latest Financial Stability Report generated considerable attention with estimates suggesting that nearly 10% of Toronto-area borrowers renewing in 2027 could be unable to refinance their mortgage. Given the questions we have received, we think it is worth revisiting what the Bank's estimate measures and what it does not.
June 22, 2026
Updated Publications
Provincial Economic Forecast
The soft start to the year for the Canadian economy appears broad-based, underpinning 2026 real GDP growth downgrades across provinces, particularly in Ontario, B.C. and parts of the Atlantic. The picture is better in per capita terms, with positive growth expected across all provinces this year, led by Newfoundland and Labrador.
June 19, 2026
Updated Publications
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast
The Iran-U.S. peace deal has sent oil prices down, but not to pre-war levels. Four months of supply backlogs will take time to normalize, and the impact of higher prices will still be felt in the global economy. Global growth has shifted into a lower gear, compounded by prospects for renewed central bank tightening.
June 18, 2026
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
July 10, 2026
Updated Publications
Provincial Resale Market Outlook: Flickers in Ontario and B.C., Cooling Elsewhere
July 03, 2026
Updated Publications
Provincial Economic Forecast
June 19, 2026
Updated Publications
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast
June 18, 2026
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Next
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
July 10, 2026
Updated Publications
Provincial Resale Market Outlook: Flickers in Ontario and B.C., Cooling Elsewhere
July 03, 2026
Updated Publications
Provincial Economic Forecast
June 19, 2026
Updated Publications
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast
June 18, 2026
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
Loonie Tunes: Playing Second Fiddle to the Greenback
July 09, 2026
Latest Research
Zero Isn’t Zero Everywhere: The Provincial Divide in Breakeven Job Growtha
July 08, 2026
Future Ready Economy
Bridging Alberta’s AI Data Center Power Gap: A Case for Renewables
June 16, 2026
Latest Research
Canada’s Price-Taker Problem
June 15, 2026
Previous
Next
Latest Research
Loonie Tunes: Playing Second Fiddle to the Greenback
July 09, 2026
Latest Research
Zero Isn’t Zero Everywhere: The Provincial Divide in Breakeven Job Growtha
July 08, 2026
Future Ready Economy
Bridging Alberta’s AI Data Center Power Gap: A Case for Renewables
June 16, 2026
Latest Research
Canada’s Price-Taker Problem
June 15, 2026
View more latest research
Commentaries
Labour
Canadian Employment (June 2026)
July 10, 2026
Economy
Canadian Merchandise Trade (May 2026)
July 07, 2026
Commentaries
Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey and Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations (2026 Q2)
July 06, 2026
Commentaries
Canadian Monthly GDP (April 2026)
June 30, 2026
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Next
Labour
Canadian Employment (June 2026)
July 10, 2026
Economy
Canadian Merchandise Trade (May 2026)
July 07, 2026
Commentaries
Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey and Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations (2026 Q2)
July 06, 2026
Commentaries
Canadian Monthly GDP (April 2026)
June 30, 2026
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