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Latest Research
Weathering the Storm – the Next Phase of America’s Cost of Housing Crisis
There is growing evidence that extreme weather events are on the rise and becoming more costly to Americans. This calls for increased adaptation and mitigation efforts. Many financially constrained households in the U.S. are vulnerable to the rising risks of flood and wildfire.
June 23, 2025
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
The New England economy has begun to cool in 2025 as risks build on multiple fronts. We expect real GDP growth to ease to 1.4% this year amid this backdrop. The Middle Atlantic region's sizeable trade & transportation sector benefitted from the sharp increase in imports in the first quarter, but with broad-based tariffs now in effect this trend has reversed course. We expect real GDP growth to decelerate to 1.4% in 2025. Economic activity in the Upper South Atlantic is expected to shift into low
June 20, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
The U.S. economy is forecast to run below its long-run trend rate of growth in 2025, as growth is slowed by tariffs, fiscal restraint and slower population growth. Real GDP growth then briefly overshoots in 2026/27 - owing to a rebound in housing and further household and business tax cuts - and then converges closer to potential by 2028. Slower near-term growth pushes the unemployment rate slightly higher, reaching 4.5% by Q4-2025 before gradually returning to its long-run average of 4% by mid-
June 17, 2025
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
Dramatic policy shifts in Washington continue to drive the narrative underlying the global economic outlook. It has been a wild ride since our March forecast, with the Liberation Day tariffs initially proving to be far higher than expected, only to be delayed. It remains highly uncertain what path U.S. tariff policy will take, the biggest wildcard in our forecast.
June 17, 2025
Latest Research
Peeling Back the Layers to the Florida Condo Market Weakness
Florida’s housing market had a strong run in the years following the pandemic and its condominium sector was no exception. But this positive narrative has seen a dramatic shift over the last few quarters. While the overall housing market has softened, in tune with national trends, Florida’s condo sector remains on much weaker footing with both sales and prices down considerably from their recent peaks.
May 29, 2025
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
June 20, 2025
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
June 20, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
June 17, 2025
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
June 17, 2025
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Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
June 20, 2025
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
June 20, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
June 17, 2025
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
June 17, 2025
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
Weathering the Storm – the Next Phase of America’s Cost of Housing Crisis
June 23, 2025
Latest Research
Peeling Back the Layers to the Florida Condo Market Weakness
May 29, 2025
Latest Research
North American Auto Outlook 2025: Trade Headwinds to Stall Industry
May 28, 2025
Latest Research
The First 100 Days: Dazed and Confused
May 23, 2025
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Latest Research
Weathering the Storm – the Next Phase of America’s Cost of Housing Crisis
June 23, 2025
Latest Research
Peeling Back the Layers to the Florida Condo Market Weakness
May 29, 2025
Latest Research
North American Auto Outlook 2025: Trade Headwinds to Stall Industry
May 28, 2025
Latest Research
The First 100 Days: Dazed and Confused
May 23, 2025
View more latest research
Commentaries
Real Estate
U.S. Existing Home Sales (May 2025)
June 23, 2025
Commentaries
U.S. FOMC Meeting (June 17-18, 2025)
June 18, 2025
Real Estate
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (May 2025)
June 18, 2025
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (May 2025)
June 17, 2025
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Real Estate
U.S. Existing Home Sales (May 2025)
June 23, 2025
Commentaries
U.S. FOMC Meeting (June 17-18, 2025)
June 18, 2025
Real Estate
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (May 2025)
June 18, 2025
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (May 2025)
June 17, 2025
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