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Trending
U.S. Employment (December 2025)
Non-farm payrolls rose by 50k in December, slightly below the consensus forecast of 70k. Job gains for the two prior months were revised lower by a total of 76k. The bulk of the downward revisions were concentrated in October (-68k), coinciding with the government shutdown.
January 09, 2026
Trending
Implications for the crude oil market From the U.S.-Venezuela Situation
On January 3rd, the U.S. captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, expanding its economic influence particularly in Venezuela's oil sector.
January 07, 2026
Trending
Long-Term Forecast
The U.S. economy is forecast to run below its long-run trend rate of growth in 2025, as growth is slowed by higher tariffs, some fiscal restraint and slower population growth. Real GDP growth then briefly overshoots in 2026/27 and then converges closer to potential by 2028.
December 17, 2025
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
The New England economy has cooled in 2025 as a combination of reduced tourist inflows, federal research funding cuts, and trade uncertainty has weighed on the region. A rebound in the region's financial industry has helped to boost economic growth in 2025, particularly in New York. Growth in the Upper South Atlantic looks to have slowed to 1.7% in 2025 from 2.8% in the previous year. Economic growth in the Lower South Atlantic has slowed this year, but at 2.5% looks to have kept an edge over th
December 17, 2025
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
Global growth has stood up to trade turmoil better than many feared earlier this year. Even with momentum expected to slow in 2026, it will be to a lesser extent than we expected three months ago. In contrast, the U.S. economy is forecast to gain a step as Fed rate cuts, the OBBBA and regulatory changes provide a tailwind.
December 11, 2025
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
January 09, 2026
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
December 17, 2025
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
December 11, 2025
Updated Publications
Commodities Quick-Take
November 27, 2025
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Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
January 09, 2026
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
December 17, 2025
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
December 11, 2025
Updated Publications
Commodities Quick-Take
November 27, 2025
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Latest Research
Latest Research
U.S. East Coast Office CRE Recovery: Running at Different Speeds
December 08, 2025
Latest Research
Assessing the Feasibility of President Trump’s Tariff Dividend Checks
December 05, 2025
Latest Research
The Days Of Our Lives
December 04, 2025
Latest Research
Decoding the U.S. Labor Market: A Q&A on What’s Really Happening
November 26, 2025
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Next
Latest Research
U.S. East Coast Office CRE Recovery: Running at Different Speeds
December 08, 2025
Latest Research
Assessing the Feasibility of President Trump’s Tariff Dividend Checks
December 05, 2025
Latest Research
The Days Of Our Lives
December 04, 2025
Latest Research
Decoding the U.S. Labor Market: A Q&A on What’s Really Happening
November 26, 2025
View more latest research
Commentaries
Trending
U.S. Employment (December 2025)
January 09, 2026
Real Estate
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (October 2025)
January 09, 2026
Trending
Implications for the crude oil market From the U.S.-Venezuela Situation
January 07, 2026
Commodities & Industry
U.S. ISM Services Index (December 2025)
January 07, 2026
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Trending
U.S. Employment (December 2025)
January 09, 2026
Real Estate
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (October 2025)
January 09, 2026
Trending
Implications for the crude oil market From the U.S.-Venezuela Situation
January 07, 2026
Commodities & Industry
U.S. ISM Services Index (December 2025)
January 07, 2026
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