Skip to main content
Canada
US
Global
Français
Forecasts
Financial Markets
Economy
Commentaries
Government Finance & Policy
Labor
Real Estate
Consumer
Trade
Business Investment
State & Local Analysis
Commodities & Industry
Future Ready Economy
Media
TD Economics
Economics analysis covering the globe.
Feature
Trending
U.S. Consumer Price Index (December 2024)
December's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report contained a little bit of good news on core inflation. After a few months of hotter readings, core prices posted a softer-than-expected gain. Fed members have indicated a desire for a more gradual pace of interest rate cuts this year, and we still think they will take a pause in January.
January 15, 2025
Latest Research
Climate Policy in a 2nd Trump Term – What’s on the Chopping Block?
Climate policy is set to take a major U-turn under Donald Trump’s second term. The president-elect will likely prioritize rolling back regulatory powers and direct spending that expanded significantly under President Biden.
January 06, 2025
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
The New England economy is expected to decelerate gradually in 2025, from its solid pace of growth this year. The rebound in the Middle Atlantic economy through the first half of 2024 has begun to weaken. The Upper South Atlantic region is estimated to have grown roughly in line with the U.S. rate this year. The Lower South Atlantic continues to outperform, with all three states that make up the region outperforming the nation this year.
December 17, 2024
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
Stronger-than-expected growth momentum would have set the stage for a 2025 growth upgrade in the U.S.. However, in light of downside policy risks – notably U.S. tariffs – projected growth rates have been kept largely intact relative to September.
December 12, 2024
Latest Research
Higher Rates Delay U.S. Housing Recovery, But Some Improvement Expected in 2025
After declining through the spring and summer, 30-year mortgage rates rebounded back near 7% this autumn on the back of rising bond yields. Strong economic data and policy-related uncertainty – notably around the new administration’s use of import tariffs – have been key catalysts behind this rate backup. As such, further upward pressure on rates in the near term can’t be ruled out.
December 09, 2024
Previous
Next
Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
January 10, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
December 18, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
December 17, 2024
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
December 12, 2024
Previous
Next
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
January 10, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
December 18, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
December 17, 2024
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
December 12, 2024
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
Climate Policy in a 2nd Trump Term – What’s on the Chopping Block?
January 06, 2025
Latest Research
Higher Rates Delay U.S. Housing Recovery, But Some Improvement Expected in 2025
December 09, 2024
Latest Research
Economic Outlook Gets Trumped!
December 05, 2024
Latest Research
U.S. Treasury Market Uncertainties: Higher Supply and Shifting Demand
November 19, 2024
Previous
Next
Latest Research
Climate Policy in a 2nd Trump Term – What’s on the Chopping Block?
January 06, 2025
Latest Research
Higher Rates Delay U.S. Housing Recovery, But Some Improvement Expected in 2025
December 09, 2024
Latest Research
Economic Outlook Gets Trumped!
December 05, 2024
Latest Research
U.S. Treasury Market Uncertainties: Higher Supply and Shifting Demand
November 19, 2024
View more latest research
Commentaries
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (December 2024)
January 16, 2025
Trending
U.S. Consumer Price Index (December 2024)
January 15, 2025
Business Investment
U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (December 2024)
January 14, 2025
Labor
U.S. Employment (December 2024)
January 10, 2025
Previous
Next
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (December 2024)
January 16, 2025
Trending
U.S. Consumer Price Index (December 2024)
January 15, 2025
Business Investment
U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (December 2024)
January 14, 2025
Labor
U.S. Employment (December 2024)
January 10, 2025
View more commentaries