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Latest Research
Medicaid Unlikely to Dodge the DOGE
The U.S. federal deficit widened to $1.8 trillion or 6.4% of GDP in fiscal year 2024. This is more than double the annual deficit averaged over the 50-year period preceding the pandemic, as outlays – measured as a share of GDP – remain elevated relative to revenues . In response, the Trump administration has promised to rein in all “wasteful” federal spending and has created a special task force known as the “Department of Government Efficiency” (DOGE), which will be led by Elon Musk.
January 22, 2025
Latest Research
Canada-U.S. Trade Relationship Infographic
Infographic that explores the strong trade relationship between Canada and the United States. Canada is the largest export market for the U.S., while maintaining a small trade deficit. Additionally, Canada is a net importer of $5 billion in U.S. automotive products, highlighting the deep economic ties between the two nations.
January 21, 2025
Trending
President Trump's Executive Orders on Climate Policy
As promised, Trump issued a sweeping executive order (EO) rescinding all of the previous administration's executive orders related to climate change, the clean energy transition and climate finance. A subsequent EO declared a national emergency on energy, establishing a completely new direction for energy policy in America.
January 21, 2025
Latest Research
Setting the Record Straight on Canada-U.S. Trade
In addition to border security concerns, Trump has argued that “the United States can no longer suffer the massive trade deficits that Canada needs to stay afloat,” claiming that the U.S. subsidizes Canada to the tune of US$200 billion annually. How “massive” is the deficit and is there validity to this claim of subsidization?
January 21, 2025
Latest Research
Climate Policy in a 2nd Trump Term – What’s on the Chopping Block?
Climate policy is set to take a major U-turn under Donald Trump’s second term. The president-elect will likely prioritize rolling back regulatory powers and direct spending that expanded significantly under President Biden.
January 06, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
The U.S. economy is forecast to remain above its long-run trend rate of growth in 2024, before normalizing closer to a trend pace in 2025. Even so, the unemployment rate is expected to edge a bit higher, reaching 4.3% in mid-2025 before gradually returning to its long-run average of 4% by the second half of 2026.
December 18, 2024
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
January 17, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
December 18, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
December 17, 2024
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
December 12, 2024
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Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
January 17, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
December 18, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
December 17, 2024
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
December 12, 2024
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
Medicaid Unlikely to Dodge the DOGE
January 22, 2025
Latest Research
Canada-U.S. Trade Relationship Infographic
January 21, 2025
Latest Research
Setting the Record Straight on Canada-U.S. Trade
January 21, 2025
Latest Research
Climate Policy in a 2nd Trump Term – What’s on the Chopping Block?
January 06, 2025
Previous
Next
Latest Research
Medicaid Unlikely to Dodge the DOGE
January 22, 2025
Latest Research
Canada-U.S. Trade Relationship Infographic
January 21, 2025
Latest Research
Setting the Record Straight on Canada-U.S. Trade
January 21, 2025
Latest Research
Climate Policy in a 2nd Trump Term – What’s on the Chopping Block?
January 06, 2025
View more latest research
Commentaries
Trending
President Trump's Executive Orders on Climate Policy
January 21, 2025
Real Estate
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (December 2024)
January 17, 2025
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (December 2024)
January 16, 2025
Commentaries
U.S. Consumer Price Index (December 2024)
January 15, 2025
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Trending
President Trump's Executive Orders on Climate Policy
January 21, 2025
Real Estate
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (December 2024)
January 17, 2025
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (December 2024)
January 16, 2025
Commentaries
U.S. Consumer Price Index (December 2024)
January 15, 2025
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