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Economics analysis covering the globe.
Feature
Trending
Real GDP (Q2-2024, advance estimate)
The U.S. economy surprised to the upside in the second quarter of 2024, expanding by 2.8% quarter-on-quarter (q/q, annualized) against expectations for around 2%.
July 25, 2024
Latest Research
High Debt Loads Are Common but U.S. Unique in Size of Ongoing Deficits
The United States, like other major economies, has seen a large increase in its debt and deficits in recent years. Most major economies have a need to reduce their deficits to prevent their debt from becoming unsustainable. The difference between the US and its peers is in the trajectory of debt and deficits. Smaller deficits are expected to reduce the debt to GDP ratio in most other advanced economies, but not in the U.S.
July 17, 2024
Latest Research
Smooth Sailing: Analyzing the Drivers of Easing U.S. Financial Conditions
U.S. financial conditions – a measure of the health of financial markets - have eased to their loosest levels since the Federal Reserve started hiking interest rates in 2022. This is largely in part due to robust economic growth that has been complemented by excitement related to generative AI, huge investments in the green transition, and the promise of lower interest rates from the Fed.
July 16, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
The New England region continues to experience stable economic growth, albeit slightly slower than the national average. Elevated interest rates continue to constrain economic activity in the Middle Atlantic region, with particular weakness being seen in New York. The Lower South Atlantic remains the perennial outperformer this year with GDP growth of 2.8% (vs 2.4% nationally).
June 20, 2024
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
“Let’s just enjoy the moment” was Bank of Canada Governor, Tiff Macklem’s, response when questioned about further rate cuts immediately after cutting the policy rate for the first time this cycle. The policymaker clearly wanted to focus on the good news for an economy coping with the highest policy rate in over twenty years. The sentiment applies to the global economic outlook.
June 18, 2024
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
July 26, 2024
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
June 20, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
June 20, 2024
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
June 18, 2024
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Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
July 26, 2024
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
June 20, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
June 20, 2024
Updated Publications
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
June 18, 2024
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
High Debt Loads Are Common but U.S. Unique in Size of Ongoing Deficits
July 17, 2024
Latest Research
Smooth Sailing: Analyzing the Drivers of Easing U.S. Financial Conditions
July 16, 2024
Latest Research
Sustaining U.S. Government Debt Will Force Hard Choices in the Future
June 05, 2024
Latest Research
A Sticky Situation: U.S. Shelter Inflation Easing, But Upside Risks Ahead in 2025
June 03, 2024
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Next
Latest Research
High Debt Loads Are Common but U.S. Unique in Size of Ongoing Deficits
July 17, 2024
Latest Research
Smooth Sailing: Analyzing the Drivers of Easing U.S. Financial Conditions
July 16, 2024
Latest Research
Sustaining U.S. Government Debt Will Force Hard Choices in the Future
June 05, 2024
Latest Research
A Sticky Situation: U.S. Shelter Inflation Easing, But Upside Risks Ahead in 2025
June 03, 2024
View more latest research
Commentaries
Trending
Real GDP (Q2-2024, advance estimate)
July 25, 2024
Real Estate
U.S. Existing Home Sales (June 2024)
July 23, 2024
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (June 2024)
July 16, 2024
Commentaries
U.S. Consumer Price Index (June 2024)
July 11, 2024
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Trending
Real GDP (Q2-2024, advance estimate)
July 25, 2024
Real Estate
U.S. Existing Home Sales (June 2024)
July 23, 2024
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (June 2024)
July 16, 2024
Commentaries
U.S. Consumer Price Index (June 2024)
July 11, 2024
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