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Latest Research
China’s Economy Under Tariffs
The tariffs that remain in place on U.S. imports from China are going to be a headwind for China this year. For China, tariffs are what economists would call a demand shock, and the response is fairly simple – authorities can address the fallout from tariffs by putting in place measures to boost demand.
July 16, 2025
Trending
Canadian Consumer Price Index (June 2025)
Another month of the inflation data coming in as expected. Top line price growth continues to be restrained by weak readings for gasoline. Moreover, "geopolitical conflicts" were cited as propping up crude prices in June, a factor that faded mid-month and should provide some offset in July.
July 15, 2025
Trending
Canadian Employment (June 2025)
Surprise! Canada's economy generated 83k new jobs in June (+0.4% month/month), much better than the consensus expectation for a flat reading. However, the gains were driven by a 70K gain in part-time positions.
July 11, 2025
Latest Research
Mortgage Renewals Won’t Shock the System, but the Pain Will Linger
An average mortgage holder who has recently renewed, or is about to, is likely absorbing an increase in monthly payments. Media headlines are raising alarm bells that the ongoing wave of mortgage renewals is a looming “shock”. So, it may come as a surprise to learn that aggregate mortgage payments in Canada are actually declining. In this report, we unpack how both dynamics can be true at the same time.
July 09, 2025
Economy
From Border Blues to Local Boom: Canada’s 2025 Tourism Spending Outlook
Heading into peak summer travel season, many eyes will be on the performance of Canada’s tourism sector as it navigates a number of crosscurrents. On one side, visits from U.S. travelers are trending downwards amid ongoing trade tensions. On the flipside, the sector appears set to benefit from a continued rise in non-U.S. international visitors and, more importantly, solid gains in Canadian domestic travel. Predicting the overall fortunes of the sector will be determined by which of these two fo
June 26, 2025
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
July 18, 2025
Updated Publications
Provincial Housing Market Outlook: Firmer Back Half of 2025 in the Cards for Canadian Housing
June 25, 2025
Updated Publications
Provincial Economic Forecast
June 18, 2025
Updated Publications
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast
June 17, 2025
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Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
July 18, 2025
Updated Publications
Provincial Housing Market Outlook: Firmer Back Half of 2025 in the Cards for Canadian Housing
June 25, 2025
Updated Publications
Provincial Economic Forecast
June 18, 2025
Updated Publications
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast
June 17, 2025
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
China’s Economy Under Tariffs
July 16, 2025
Latest Research
Mortgage Renewals Won’t Shock the System, but the Pain Will Linger
July 09, 2025
Economy
From Border Blues to Local Boom: Canada’s 2025 Tourism Spending Outlook
June 26, 2025
Economy
TD Credit and Debit Card Spend Report: The Damage is Done
June 24, 2025
Previous
Next
Latest Research
China’s Economy Under Tariffs
July 16, 2025
Latest Research
Mortgage Renewals Won’t Shock the System, but the Pain Will Linger
July 09, 2025
Economy
From Border Blues to Local Boom: Canada’s 2025 Tourism Spending Outlook
June 26, 2025
Economy
TD Credit and Debit Card Spend Report: The Damage is Done
June 24, 2025
View more latest research
Commentaries
Commentaries
Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey and Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations (2025 Q2)
July 21, 2025
Real Estate
Canadian Housing Starts (June 2025)
July 16, 2025
Trending
Canadian Consumer Price Index (June 2025)
July 15, 2025
Real Estate
Canadian Existing Home Sales (June 2025)
July 15, 2025
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Next
Commentaries
Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey and Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations (2025 Q2)
July 21, 2025
Real Estate
Canadian Housing Starts (June 2025)
July 16, 2025
Trending
Canadian Consumer Price Index (June 2025)
July 15, 2025
Real Estate
Canadian Existing Home Sales (June 2025)
July 15, 2025
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