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Economy
Canada’s Business Dynamism in a Post-Pandemic Slump
Already on the downshift trajectory before COVID-19, Canada’s business dynamism is struggling to get back on its feet. A slow rate of net business entries and rise in bankruptcies resulted in deteriorating business growth. Companies, employing more than 20 and less than 500 employees are at the forefront of this downturn.
September 16, 2024
Economy
U.S. 2024 Election: Economic and Financial Implications
Elections matter for the economy, but financial markets are likely to be particularly attuned to the current election cycle given America’s unsustainable fiscal trajectory. The make-up of Congress will determine how much of the future President’s agenda can be implemented. A divided Congress will likely force the next President to make significant concessions relative to their current platform proposals.
September 13, 2024
Economy
From Bad to Worse: Canada’s Productivity Slowdown is Everyone’s Problem
Canada has seen its productivity go from bad to worse since the pandemic. If Canada does not play to win on labour productivity, it risks a continued drop in living standards, worsening wage stagnation and a dangerous deterioration in public services.
September 12, 2024
Latest Research
Oversupplied GTA Condo Market a Headwind for Home Prices
GTA home sales levels have been subdued since the Bank of Canada began cutting rates in June. That said, sales growth should turn stronger, as the steep decline in yields gets more fully reflected in mortgage rates. Yet, even as sales growth heats up in coming months, average resale price growth in the GTA will probably trail by a considerable margin.
September 05, 2024
Latest Research
Dollars and Sense: Ready… Set... Cut! Cut! Cut!
The Fed is finally ready to cut interest rates, but questions remain on the speed and magnitude. We penciled in 25 basis points per meeting, with over 250 bps in cuts over this year and next. However, now that the Fed is confident that inflation will return to target, it will prioritize a little more of the other side of its dual mandate – developments in the job market – to ultimately determine the speed and size of rate cuts.
August 26, 2024
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
September 13, 2024
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
August 14, 2024
Updated Publications
Provincial Housing Market Outlook: Mediocre Second Half Sales Recovery on Deck
June 26, 2024
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
June 20, 2024
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Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
September 13, 2024
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
August 14, 2024
Updated Publications
Provincial Housing Market Outlook: Mediocre Second Half Sales Recovery on Deck
June 26, 2024
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
June 20, 2024
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Economy
U.S. 2024 Election: Economic and Financial Implications
September 13, 2024
Economy
From Bad to Worse: Canada’s Productivity Slowdown is Everyone’s Problem
September 12, 2024
Latest Research
Oversupplied GTA Condo Market a Headwind for Home Prices
September 05, 2024
Latest Research
Dollars and Sense: Ready… Set... Cut! Cut! Cut!
August 26, 2024
Previous
Next
Economy
U.S. 2024 Election: Economic and Financial Implications
September 13, 2024
Economy
From Bad to Worse: Canada’s Productivity Slowdown is Everyone’s Problem
September 12, 2024
Latest Research
Oversupplied GTA Condo Market a Headwind for Home Prices
September 05, 2024
Latest Research
Dollars and Sense: Ready… Set... Cut! Cut! Cut!
August 26, 2024
View more latest research
Commentaries
Real Estate
Canadian Existing Home Sales (August 2024)
September 16, 2024
Economy
Canadian Household Balance Sheet (2024 Q2)
September 12, 2024
Labour
Canadian Employment (August 2024)
September 06, 2024
Commentaries
Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (September 4, 2024)
September 04, 2024
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Real Estate
Canadian Existing Home Sales (August 2024)
September 16, 2024
Economy
Canadian Household Balance Sheet (2024 Q2)
September 12, 2024
Labour
Canadian Employment (August 2024)
September 06, 2024
Commentaries
Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (September 4, 2024)
September 04, 2024
View more commentaries