Updated Publications
June 22, 2026
State Economic Forecast
New England entered 2026 on a softer footing. However, financial services activity, defense manufacturing, and health care are helping limit downside risks from federal research funding cuts and elevated trade uncertainty. Economic growth in the Middle Atlantic has remained firm to start 2026, supported by the region’s large whitecollar industries and significant investments tied to artificial intelligence. Economic activity in the Upper South Atlantic is set to firm as 2026 unfolds, helped by the impact of federal spending cuts falling increasingly in the rearview mirror, and continued resilience in North Carolina. Economic growth in the Lower South Atlantic has eased, with its outperformance versus the nation likely to narrow this year.
June 18, 2026
U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecast
The Iran-U.S. peace deal has sent oil prices down, but not to pre-war levels. Four months of supply backlogs will take time to normalize, and the impact of higher prices will still be felt in the global economy. Global growth has shifted into a lower gear, compounded by prospects for renewed central bank tightening. The U.S. economy is set for another solid year of growth, leaving inflation too high for the Fed’s comfort. Patience is expected to be the Fed’s gameplan this year, with rate cuts off the table.
May 19, 2026
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
As the conflict in the Middle East extends deeper into the year, this quarter's Q&A focuses on what it means for the global economy, inflation and interest rates. We also take a look at the risks creeping into private credit, job creation and where things stand on U.S. tariffs and the upcoming USMCA review.
