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Updated Publications
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast
Global growth has stood up to trade turmoil better than many feared earlier this year. Even with momentum expected to slow in 2026, it will be to a lesser extent than we expected three months ago. In contrast, the U.S. economy is forecast to gain a step as Fed rate cuts, the OBBBA and regulatory changes provide a tailwind. Canada is also an economy of contrasts. Government initiatives to boost investment are likely to meet some resistance with 2026’s CUSMA review. The Bank of Canada has done its
December 11, 2025
Economy
Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (December 10, 2025)
The Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate at 2.25%, in line with market expectations.
December 10, 2025
Latest Research
The Days Of Our Lives
Yes, the title of this presentation comes from a famous soap opera. It’s appropriate to depict the past year, full of economic and political drama. We’re on the cusp of closing out 2025, a dramatic 365 days marked by the shifting sands in government policies and corporate behaviors. And this final quarter of the year has brought forward more pivots on both sides of the border that will keep us glued to the next episode. My only hope is that the economic drama doesn’t run sixty-three seasons like
December 04, 2025
Updated Publications
Commodities Quick-Take
Idiosyncratic factors are driving divergences in energy commodities. Oversupplied crude oil markets are weighing on the price outlook, while robust LNG demand has been bidding up natural gas. Base metals prices have been pressured higher following sharp tariff-induced selloffs earlier this year. Still-sluggish global demand will likely be offset by ongoing supply concerns, keeping metals prices on the firm side in 2026.
November 27, 2025
Future Ready Economy
Weather Disasters and the Insurance Market in Canada: An Emerging Crisis?
Canada has had over 300 catastrophic weather events since 1983. These are currently defined as weather disasters that cause at least $30 million in insured losses, though lower thresholds were used prior to 2022. The average number of annual catastrophic events has increased over time as have insured losses associated with these events.
November 27, 2025
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
It's hard to write anything these days without addressing the impact of tariffs, but this quarter bubbled up many other issues for our Q&A. The effects of the U.S. government shutdown, signals from the labor market and the Fed's next interest rate move are also examined. For Canada, policy shifts are in the spotlight, with the federal budget, immigration and the Bank of Canada's move to the sidelines all addressed.
November 25, 2025
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
December 12, 2025
Updated Publications
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast
December 11, 2025
Updated Publications
Commodities Quick-Take
November 27, 2025
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
November 25, 2025
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Next
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
December 12, 2025
Updated Publications
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast
December 11, 2025
Updated Publications
Commodities Quick-Take
November 27, 2025
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
November 25, 2025
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
The Days Of Our Lives
December 04, 2025
Future Ready Economy
Weather Disasters and the Insurance Market in Canada: An Emerging Crisis?
November 27, 2025
Latest Research
Hogtown Blues: Toronto’s Lagging Jobs Market
October 29, 2025
Economy
Is the Dial-Back of Immigration Having the Intended Impact in Canada?
October 28, 2025
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Next
Latest Research
The Days Of Our Lives
December 04, 2025
Future Ready Economy
Weather Disasters and the Insurance Market in Canada: An Emerging Crisis?
November 27, 2025
Latest Research
Hogtown Blues: Toronto’s Lagging Jobs Market
October 29, 2025
Economy
Is the Dial-Back of Immigration Having the Intended Impact in Canada?
October 28, 2025
View more latest research
Commentaries
Economy
Canadian Household Balance Sheet (2025 Q3)
December 11, 2025
Economy
Canadian Merchandise Trade (September 2025)
December 11, 2025
Economy
Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (December 10, 2025)
December 10, 2025
Labour
Canadian Employment (November 2025)
December 05, 2025
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Economy
Canadian Household Balance Sheet (2025 Q3)
December 11, 2025
Economy
Canadian Merchandise Trade (September 2025)
December 11, 2025
Economy
Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (December 10, 2025)
December 10, 2025
Labour
Canadian Employment (November 2025)
December 05, 2025
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