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TD Economics
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Economy
The State of the Canadian Job Market and a Lookahead to an Uncertain Future
Canada’s economy is facing no shortage of risks in the months ahead, from the potential of U.S. tariffs to a population slowdown to uncertainty around the upcoming federal election. On the plus side, Canada’s labour market is starting 2025 in solid shape, providing a decent foundation to the economy as it navigates this potentially bumpy period. Indeed, for all of Canada’s economic challenges – weak economic growth, poor productivity, and deteriorating housing affordability – the job market has
February 20, 2025
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
In just four weeks since assuming office, President Trump has issued a record number of executive orders (EOs) and is spinning markets with new tariff announcements by the day. No surprise, this quarter's Q&A is dominated by discussions on potential impacts. We have changed our forecasts for interest rates and economic growth, most notably for Canada.
February 19, 2025
Trending
Update on U.S. Steel and Aluminum Tariffs
The White House has announced the restoration of Section 232 Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum that were originally imposed in 2018. The rate on steel will return to the 25% implemented in 2018, while the rate on aluminum will rise to 25%, from 10% previously.
February 12, 2025
Economy
Trump slaps 25% tariff on all products from Canada and Mexico, 10% on China
On Tuesday, the U.S. will officially launch a tariff war with far reaching economic, geopolitical and financial market ramifications.
February 01, 2025
Latest Research
Reality Bites: Finding the Next U.S. Growth Dividend
With executive orders flying fast and furious from President Trump, investor optimism of an unleashing in animal spirits is kept in check by the reality of simple arithmetic on the economy. The median consensus forecast remains anchored towards 2% economic growth for this year and next. This marks a step down in momentum from the administration years of both Biden and Trump’s first term. Each of those three-year periods had near identical real GDP growth, averaging 2.7%, excluding the exaggerate
January 29, 2025
Media
TD Economics Wins Best Forecaster Award 2024 from FocusEconomics
TD Economics is thrilled to receive the Best Forecaster Award 2024 for Canada Overall from FocusEconomics. This honour highlights our commitment to delivering accurate and insightful economic forecasts.
July 02, 2024
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
February 19, 2025
Updated Publications
2025 Nova Scotia Budget
February 18, 2025
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
February 14, 2025
Updated Publications
Canadian Housing Outlook: Sunnier Skies Ahead
December 19, 2024
Previous
Next
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
February 19, 2025
Updated Publications
2025 Nova Scotia Budget
February 18, 2025
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
February 14, 2025
Updated Publications
Canadian Housing Outlook: Sunnier Skies Ahead
December 19, 2024
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Economy
The State of the Canadian Job Market and a Lookahead to an Uncertain Future
February 20, 2025
Media
WATCH: Derek Burleton talk about how Canada is bracing for the economic impact of U.S. tariffs
February 03, 2025
Economy
Trump slaps 25% tariff on all products from Canada and Mexico, 10% on China
February 01, 2025
Latest Research
Reality Bites: Finding the Next U.S. Growth Dividend
January 29, 2025
Previous
Next
Economy
The State of the Canadian Job Market and a Lookahead to an Uncertain Future
February 20, 2025
Media
WATCH: Derek Burleton talk about how Canada is bracing for the economic impact of U.S. tariffs
February 03, 2025
Economy
Trump slaps 25% tariff on all products from Canada and Mexico, 10% on China
February 01, 2025
Latest Research
Reality Bites: Finding the Next U.S. Growth Dividend
January 29, 2025
View more latest research
Commentaries
Commentaries
Canadian Consumer Price Index (January 2025)
February 18, 2025
Real Estate
Canadian Existing Home Sales (January 2025)
February 18, 2025
Trending
Update on U.S. Steel and Aluminum Tariffs
February 12, 2025
Labour
Canadian Employment (January 2025)
February 07, 2025
Previous
Next
Commentaries
Canadian Consumer Price Index (January 2025)
February 18, 2025
Real Estate
Canadian Existing Home Sales (January 2025)
February 18, 2025
Trending
Update on U.S. Steel and Aluminum Tariffs
February 12, 2025
Labour
Canadian Employment (January 2025)
February 07, 2025
View more commentaries
