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TD Economics
Economics analysis covering the globe.
Feature
Latest Research
Markets Brace For Higher Inflation and Interest Rates Under President Trump
As of 11 AM ET, Donald Trump has secured 277 of the 538 Electoral College votes, becoming the 47th president. While ballots are still being counted, President Trump also looks to have won the popular vote, which has not happened for a Republican president since George W. Bush in 2004.
November 06, 2024
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci talk about Trump 2.0 and what it may mean for markets, the economy and Canada
Former Republican President Donald Trump is projected to have won a second term. MoneyTalk’s Kim Parlee speaks with Beata Caranci, Chief Economist at TD, and Kevin Hebner, Global Investment Strategist with TD Epoch, about the results and the implications for the economy, trade, and the markets.
November 06, 2024
Latest Research
Canada’s interest rate conundrum: Too much of a good thing
A call for a jumbo cut to head off mortgage reset rates must be assessed carefully. Surprisingly, roughly a quarter of mortgages will reset at a LOWER interest rate next year. For those renewing into higher rates, the shock might be milder than expected, given a 30% increase in home prices and wages. Years of debt repayments have also built equity room, which homeowners, including those with variable-rate-fixed-payments mortgages, can use to lower payments if needed.
November 01, 2024
Updated Publications
2024 Ontario Fall Fiscal Update: Staying the Course on Deficit Reduction
In its fall fiscal update, the Ontario government maintained its path back to balance and formally announced previously-telegraphed measures (rebate cheques, extension of the gas and fuel tax cuts) that will support household incomes in the coming year. However, the road back to black ink will remain challenging, as it will require spending growth to be held at a very modest pace. Fortunately, the government is benefitting from a better starting point, with this year’s deficit now pegged at $6.
October 30, 2024
Latest Research
Is 50 the New 25?
No, I’m not talking about age, although I’d greatly benefit from that view! I knew I would eat crow on Wednesday’s Bank of Canada (BoC) call with the high market pricing for a 50 basis point (bp) cut. There’s no regret in having conviction that risks need to be managed when the Bank delivers a rate cut that historically aligns to emergency periods. It could condition Canadians to expect data misses to be met with large monetary responses. I was hoping this would be clearly addressed in the press
October 25, 2024
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
November 01, 2024
Updated Publications
2024 Ontario Fall Fiscal Update: Staying the Course on Deficit Reduction
October 30, 2024
Updated Publications
Canadian Housing Outlook: When the Trickle Becomes a Flood
September 26, 2024
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
September 25, 2024
Previous
Next
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
November 01, 2024
Updated Publications
2024 Ontario Fall Fiscal Update: Staying the Course on Deficit Reduction
October 30, 2024
Updated Publications
Canadian Housing Outlook: When the Trickle Becomes a Flood
September 26, 2024
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
September 25, 2024
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
Markets Brace For Higher Inflation and Interest Rates Under President Trump
November 06, 2024
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci talk about Trump 2.0 and what it may mean for markets, the economy and Canada
November 06, 2024
Latest Research
Canada’s interest rate conundrum: Too much of a good thing
November 01, 2024
Latest Research
Is 50 the New 25?
October 25, 2024
Previous
Next
Latest Research
Markets Brace For Higher Inflation and Interest Rates Under President Trump
November 06, 2024
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci talk about Trump 2.0 and what it may mean for markets, the economy and Canada
November 06, 2024
Latest Research
Canada’s interest rate conundrum: Too much of a good thing
November 01, 2024
Latest Research
Is 50 the New 25?
October 25, 2024
View more latest research
Commentaries
Economy
Canadian Merchandise Trade (September 2024)
November 05, 2024
Commentaries
Canadian Monthly GDP (August 2024)
October 31, 2024
Consumer
Canadian Retail Sales (August 2024)
October 25, 2024
Commentaries
Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (October 23, 2024)
October 23, 2024
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Next
Economy
Canadian Merchandise Trade (September 2024)
November 05, 2024
Commentaries
Canadian Monthly GDP (August 2024)
October 31, 2024
Consumer
Canadian Retail Sales (August 2024)
October 25, 2024
Commentaries
Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (October 23, 2024)
October 23, 2024
View more commentaries
