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Economy
Economists’ Almanac Predicting Another Warm Year for U.S. Inflation
Higher tariffs have been slow to materialize in U.S. consumer prices. The stop-and-start rollout of trade policies, inventory stockpiling and a substitution away from highly tariffed Chinese goods have helped to mitigate the impact on goods inflation. However, these forces will play less of a role moving forward.
September 09, 2025
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci discusses what signals economists are looking for when it comes to housing on MoneyTalk
MoneyTalk asked TD’s Chief Economist Beata Caranci, who said jobs data, the Bank of Canada’s interest rate moves and overall market sentiment will all impact housing markets. While she acknowledges that housing affordability remains a pressing issue, it’s probably “as good as it’s going to get” for the next six to 12 months.
September 09, 2025
Future Ready Economy
Canadians Need to Think Strategically on Electric Vehicles and China
Technological and production cost reduction advancements by Chinese automakers and battery manufacturers present an opportunity for Canada to diversify its electric vehicle supply chains through strategic partnerships. This could help Canada's auto industry to accelerate innovation, reduce production costs and increase the variety of EV models offered to consumers.
September 08, 2025
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci speaks on new report ‘Tails we win, heads you lose’ with MoneyTalk
According to a new report from TD Economics, the U.S. has been an economic disruptor of itself. Whether it be to its own business cost structures and trade flows with tariff policies, or labor force dynamics with uncertainty and immigration policies. Even so, Beata Caranci, Chief Economist at TD, says the U.S. is paying a lower economic cost for those polices compared to other countries, which she describes as a ‘tails we win, heads you lose’ scenario.
September 05, 2025
Latest Research
Tails We Win, Heads You Lose
The U.S. has been disruptor of itself. Whether it be to its own business cost structures and trade flows with tariff policies, or labor force dynamics with uncertainty and immigration policies. And yet, it’s paying a lower economic cost relative to peer countries. That gave rise to the title: Tails we win, heads you lose. I’ll explore the resilient features of the domestic economy, making sure to distinguish the narratives we hear from the data we see.
September 02, 2025
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
September 12, 2025
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
August 20, 2025
Updated Publications
Provincial Housing Market Outlook: Firmer Back Half of 2025 in the Cards for Canadian Housing
June 25, 2025
Updated Publications
Provincial Economic Forecast
June 18, 2025
Previous
Next
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
September 12, 2025
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
August 20, 2025
Updated Publications
Provincial Housing Market Outlook: Firmer Back Half of 2025 in the Cards for Canadian Housing
June 25, 2025
Updated Publications
Provincial Economic Forecast
June 18, 2025
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Economy
Economists’ Almanac Predicting Another Warm Year for U.S. Inflation
September 09, 2025
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci discusses what signals economists are looking for when it comes to housing on MoneyTalk
September 09, 2025
Future Ready Economy
Canadians Need to Think Strategically on Electric Vehicles and China
September 08, 2025
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci speaks on new report ‘Tails we win, heads you lose’ with MoneyTalk
September 05, 2025
Previous
Next
Economy
Economists’ Almanac Predicting Another Warm Year for U.S. Inflation
September 09, 2025
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci discusses what signals economists are looking for when it comes to housing on MoneyTalk
September 09, 2025
Future Ready Economy
Canadians Need to Think Strategically on Electric Vehicles and China
September 08, 2025
Media
WATCH: Beata Caranci speaks on new report ‘Tails we win, heads you lose’ with MoneyTalk
September 05, 2025
View more latest research
Commentaries
Economy
Canadian Household Balance Sheet (2025 Q2)
September 11, 2025
Labour
Canadian Employment (August 2025)
September 05, 2025
Economy
Canadian Merchandise Trade (July 2025)
September 04, 2025
Commentaries
Canadian Quarterly GDP (Q2 2025)
August 29, 2025
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Next
Economy
Canadian Household Balance Sheet (2025 Q2)
September 11, 2025
Labour
Canadian Employment (August 2025)
September 05, 2025
Economy
Canadian Merchandise Trade (July 2025)
September 04, 2025
Commentaries
Canadian Quarterly GDP (Q2 2025)
August 29, 2025
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