Canadian Existing Home Sales (February 2026)
Rishi Sondhi, Economist | 416-983-8806
Date Published: March 17, 2026
- Category:
- Canada
- Data Commentary
- Real Estate
Canadian home sales decline again in February
- Canadian existing home sales declined 1.3% month-on-month (m/m) in February. Declines in Saskatchewan (-7.8% m/m), Ontario (-5.8% m/m) and B.C. (-1.9% m/m) weighed on national sales. Meanwhile, sales increased in Manitoba (+12.3% m/m), Quebec (+3.4% m/m), and Alberta (+1.8% m/m).
- New listings declined 3.9% m/m in February. With new listings falling faster than sales, the sales-to-new listings ratio tightened to 47.6%. However, it remained well below the long-term average, signaling modest near-term price growth moving forward.
- Average home prices dropped 1.8% m/m in February. Mirroring the sales trend, prices were down notably in Saskatchewan (-4.4% m/m), B.C. (-2.0% m/m), and Ontario (-1.7% m/m). Meanwhile, prices increased notably in Nova Scotia (5.8% m/m) and inched higher in Quebec (+0.6% m/m).
- The MLS home price index, a more "like for like" measure, declined 0.6% m/m, and was down 4.8% on a year-on-year basis. Prices for detached and condo units were down 0.5% m/m. In year-on-year terms, prices for single detached homes dropped 4.5%, while condos declined 5.8%.
Key Implications
- Home sales failed to bounce-back from an exceedingly soft, weather-impacted print in January. However, the Canadian Real Estate Association (which releases the data) noted that activity was "starting to pick up speed" toward the end of February, suggesting some momentum heading into the spring selling season. More broadly, Canadian housing activity remains subdued, restrained by a myriad of headwinds, like slower population growth, softening job markets, cost-of-living pressures, and economic uncertainty.
- 2026 is shaping up to be another subpar year for Canadian housing, with elevated supply relative to demand likely to keep downward pressure on prices in B.C. and Ontario. Price growth should be firmer elsewhere, however, given tighter supply/demand balances.
Disclaimer
This report is provided by TD Economics. It is for informational and educational purposes only as of the date of writing, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. The views and opinions expressed may change at any time based on market or other conditions and may not come to pass. This material is not intended to be relied upon as investment advice or recommendations, does not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell securities and should not be considered specific legal, investment or tax advice. The report does not provide material information about the business and affairs of TD Bank Group and the members of TD Economics are not spokespersons for TD Bank Group with respect to its business and affairs. The information contained in this report has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. This report contains economic analysis and views, including about future economic and financial markets performance. These are based on certain assumptions and other factors, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. The actual outcome may be materially different. The Toronto-Dominion Bank and its affiliates and related entities that comprise the TD Bank Group are not liable for any errors or omissions in the information, analysis or views contained in this report, or for any loss or damage suffered.