U.S. Existing Home Sales (August 2026)
Admir Kolaj, Economist | 416-944-6318
Date Published: September 10, 2026
- Category:
- U.S.
- Data Commentary
- Real Estate
Existing home sales fall for a third consecutive month in August
- Existing home sales fell 2.0% month-on-month (m/m) to 3.98 million units (annualized) in August, roughly in line with market expectations. Activity is down 1.2% from year-ago levels.
- Sales in the single-family segment fell 1.9% to 3.62 million, while sales in the smaller condo/co-op segment fell 2.7% to 360,000 (annualized).
- Activity declined across most regions, with sales falling 4.0% in the Northeast, 3.1% in the Midwest and 1.6% in the South, while remaining unchanged in the West.
- Unadjusted inventory levels stood at 1.62 million, up 3.2% from July and 5.9% from August 2025. Measured at the current sales rate and on a seasonally adjusted basis, unsold inventory stood at 4.6 months’ supply, barely within the balanced range of four-to-six months, but up moderately from 4.3 months in both July of this year and August of last year.
- The median home price was up 1.6% year-on-year, a mild deceleration from 2.5% in the month prior.
Key Implications
- Existing home sales declined for a third consecutive month in August, falling below the four-million mark and reinforcing the broader picture of a market still constrained by poor affordability. The latest reading reflects purchase contracts signed in the 1-2 months prior, when mortgage rates were already moving higher. The bigger picture remains little changed, with activity subdued by historical standards as elevated borrowing costs and home prices continue to limit purchasing power. Meanwhile, inventory remains only marginally within balanced territory, providing buyers with a bit more choice than over the past year but remaining sufficiently contained to support prices despite weak demand.
- Near-term financing conditions have become even less supportive. Daily measures of the 30-year fixed mortgage rate are approaching 7%, returning to levels last seen around mid-2025. This renewed increase in financing costs will further erode affordability and constrain buyer demand. The labor market continues to provide some support, but households are facing additional pressure from rising costs elsewhere, like higher fuel prices, which are chipping away at disposable income. Against this backdrop, existing home sales are likely to remain subdued through the remainder of the year.
Disclaimer
This report is provided by TD Economics. It is for informational and educational purposes only as of the date of writing, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. The views and opinions expressed may change at any time based on market or other conditions and may not come to pass. This material is not intended to be relied upon as investment advice or recommendations, does not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell securities and should not be considered specific legal, investment or tax advice. The report does not provide material information about the business and affairs of TD Bank Group and the members of TD Economics are not spokespersons for TD Bank Group with respect to its business and affairs. The information contained in this report has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. This report contains economic analysis and views, including about future economic and financial markets performance. These are based on certain assumptions and other factors, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. The actual outcome may be materially different. The Toronto-Dominion Bank and its affiliates and related entities that comprise the TD Bank Group are not liable for any errors or omissions in the information, analysis or views contained in this report, or for any loss or damage suffered.