Marchés boursiers mondiaux
* Indice boursier pondéré comprenant les marchés développés et émergents.
Sources : Bloomberg, Services économiques TD.
Principaux indices boursiers |
Prix au |
% var. |
% var. |
Sommet |
Creux |
23-août |
30 jrs |
2024 |
52 sem. |
52 sem. |
Indice S&P 500 |
5,605 |
0.9 |
17.5 |
5,667 |
4,117 |
Ind. comp. S&P/TSX |
23,177 |
1.6 |
10.6 |
23,177 |
18,737 |
Indice DAX |
18,579 |
0.1 |
10.9 |
18,869 |
14,687 |
Indice FTSE 100 |
8,315 |
1.8 |
7.5 |
8,446 |
7,291 |
Indice Nikkei |
38,364 |
-3.1 |
14.6 |
42,224 |
30,527 |
Indice MSCI AC Monde* |
823 |
0.8 |
13.2 |
831 |
629 |
Perspectives des Prix des Produits de Base
P: Prévisions des Services économiques TD en date de septembre 2024. Toutes les prévisions sont des moyennes de période.
Sources : Bloomberg, USDA (Haver), Services économiques TD.
Prix des produits de base |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
T1 |
T2 |
T3P |
T4P |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
Brut (WTI, $US/baril) |
77 |
81 |
77 |
76 |
75 |
76 |
77 |
78 |
78 |
78 |
79 |
79 |
Gaz naturel ($US/mBTU) |
2.23 |
2.07 |
2.20 |
2.50 |
2.90 |
3.10 |
3.10 |
3.30 |
3.32 |
3.33 |
3.35 |
3.37 |
Or ($US/once troy) |
2072 |
2336 |
2430 |
2475 |
2495 |
2450 |
2400 |
2375 |
2387 |
2399 |
2411 |
2423 |
Argent ($US/once troy) |
23.37 |
28.87 |
28.75 |
29.50 |
32.00 |
31.50 |
31.00 |
30.50 |
30.65 |
30.81 |
30.96 |
31.11 |
Cuivre (cents/livre) |
383 |
442 |
413 |
420 |
435 |
435 |
435 |
435 |
437 |
439 |
442 |
444 |
Nickel ($US/livre) |
7.52 |
8.35 |
7.40 |
7.53 |
7.70 |
7.60 |
7.60 |
7.50 |
7.54 |
7.58 |
7.61 |
7.65 |
Aluminium (cents/livre) |
100 |
114 |
107 |
111 |
112 |
112 |
115 |
115 |
116 |
116 |
117 |
117 |
Blé ($US/livre) |
5.87 |
6.04 |
5.50 |
5.60 |
5.80 |
5.80 |
5.80 |
5.80 |
5.83 |
5.86 |
5.89 |
5.92 |
Perspectives Économiques Canadiennes.
[Variation Annualisée en Pourcentage d'une Période à l’autre, Sauf Indication Contraire]
P : Prévisions des Services économiques TD en date de septembre 2024. La mesure des prix de l'immobilier résidentiel affichée est le prix de vente moyen composé de l'ACI.
* Produits de propriété intellectuelle.
** IPC excluant les 8 composants les plus volatils.
*** Moyenne simple de l'IPC-tronq et l'IPC-méd.
Sources : Statistique Canada, Banque du Canada, Société canadienne d'hypothèques et de logement, Haver Analytics, Services économiques TD.
Indicateurs économiques |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
Moy. Annuelle |
T4/T4 |
T1 |
T2 |
T3P |
T4P |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
24P |
25P |
26P |
24P |
25P |
26P |
PIB réel |
1.8 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
Dépenses de Consommation |
3.6 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
Biens Durables |
2.0 |
-7.9 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
Investiss. Fixe non Résidentiel |
3.5 |
8.8 |
-7.1 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
-1.6 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
Structures non Résidentielles |
3.7 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
-2.2 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
Équipements et PPI* |
3.2 |
16.1 |
-16.0 |
1.3 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
-1.0 |
0.9 |
2.9 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
Investissement Résidentiel |
-0.1 |
-7.3 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
-0.4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
-0.2 |
4.3 |
3.1 |
Dépenses Publiques |
2.5 |
6.7 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
3.5 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
Demande Intérieure Finale |
3.1 |
2.4 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
Exportations |
2.0 |
-1.8 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
Importations |
0.1 |
-0.5 |
-2.7 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
0.3 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
0.0 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
Variation des Stocks |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
non Agricoles (2012, G $) |
28.4 |
24.0 |
20.0 |
17.8 |
16.6 |
15.1 |
14.1 |
13.6 |
13.6 |
14.1 |
15.1 |
15.6 |
22.5 |
14.9 |
14.6 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Ventes Finales |
5.5 |
2.7 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
Solde Courant |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
International (G $) |
-21.5 |
-33.9 |
-5.2 |
-8.1 |
-11.6 |
-9.6 |
-6.0 |
-2.9 |
-0.3 |
2.0 |
3.9 |
5.5 |
-17.2 |
-7.5 |
2.8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
% du PIB |
-0.7 |
-1.1 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
-0.6 |
-0.2 |
0.1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Bénéf. des Entrepr. avant Impôts |
-34.4 |
15.1 |
2.2 |
4.6 |
6.2 |
3.3 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
-3.5 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
-5.2 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
% du PIB |
11.8 |
12.0 |
11.9 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.1 |
12.1 |
12.2 |
12.2 |
12.2 |
12.3 |
11.9 |
12.1 |
12.2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Indice du PIB (a/a) |
3.5 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
PIB Nominal |
0.3 |
7.1 |
4.3 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
Population Active |
2.0 |
4.1 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
Emplois |
1.5 |
2.4 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
Emplois (variation en milliers) |
76 |
120 |
22 |
58 |
41 |
58 |
43 |
38 |
39 |
39 |
39 |
39 |
327 |
200 |
161 |
276 |
180 |
156 |
Taux de Chômage (%) |
5.9 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Revenu Personnel Disponible |
6.8 |
6.1 |
4.8 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
6.2 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
5.1 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
Taux d'Épargne Personnelle (%) |
6.7 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
5.6 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Ind. des Prix à la Cons. (a/a) |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
Indice de Référence (a/a) ** |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Inflation BdC (a/a) *** |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Mises en Chantier (milliers) |
245 |
250 |
249 |
239 |
234 |
236 |
240 |
243 |
248 |
252 |
256 |
257 |
246 |
238 |
253 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Prix de l'Immobilier Résidentiel (a/a) |
4.3 |
-2.8 |
0.4 |
3.7 |
5.8 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
5.1 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
6.9 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
7.2 |
2.8 |
PIB Réel / Travailleur (a/a) |
-1.1 |
-0.9 |
-0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
-0.5 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
Perspectives Économiques Américaines
[Variation Annualisée en Pourcentage d'une Période à l’autre, Sauf Indication Contraire]
* Produits de propriété intellectuelle.
** Secteur non agricole. P = Prévisions des Services économiques TD en date de septembre 2024.
Sources : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau, Services économiques TD.
Indicateurs économiques |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
Moy. Annuelle |
T4/T4 |
T1 |
T2 |
T3P |
T4P |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
24P |
25P |
26P |
24P |
25P |
26P |
PIB Réel |
1.4 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
Dépenses de Consommation |
1.5 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
Biens Durables |
-4.4 |
4.9 |
9.0 |
2.6 |
-0.4 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
Investiss. Fixe non Résidentiel |
4.4 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
Structures non Résidentielles |
3.4 |
-1.6 |
0.0 |
6.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
5.2 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
Équipements et PPI* |
4.8 |
6.4 |
4.7 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
Investissement Résidentiel |
16.0 |
-2.1 |
-13.0 |
-1.5 |
6.0 |
10.0 |
11.8 |
13.7 |
11.4 |
9.1 |
6.7 |
4.4 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
10.3 |
-0.7 |
10.3 |
7.9 |
Dépenses Publiques |
1.8 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
3.1 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Demande Intérieure Finale |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
Exportations |
1.6 |
1.6 |
4.0 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
Importations |
6.1 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
4.4 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
6.1 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
Variation des |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
stocks des Entreprises |
28.6 |
69.0 |
66.1 |
65.1 |
59.3 |
57.2 |
55.0 |
55.0 |
55.0 |
55.0 |
55.0 |
55.0 |
57.2 |
56.6 |
55.0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Ventes Finales |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
Solde Courant |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
International (G $) |
-951 |
-1024 |
-1029 |
-1099 |
-1103 |
-1112 |
-1107 |
-1106 |
-1092 |
-1099 |
-1095 |
-1088 |
-1026 |
-1107 |
-1093 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
% du PIB |
-3.4 |
-3.6 |
-3.6 |
-3.8 |
-3.7 |
-3.7 |
-3.7 |
-3.6 |
-3.5 |
-3.5 |
-3.5 |
-3.4 |
-3.6 |
-3.7 |
-3.5 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Bénéf. des Entrepr. avant Impôts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(incluant la TVA et la DDA) |
-5.4 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
-4.9 |
-4.7 |
6.1 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
9.8 |
5.6 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
5.5 |
1.5 |
7.1 |
1.1 |
3.1 |
7.5 |
% du PIB |
11.9 |
12.0 |
12.1 |
11.8 |
11.6 |
11.6 |
11.6 |
11.7 |
11.8 |
11.8 |
11.9 |
12.0 |
11.9 |
11.6 |
11.9 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Déflateur du PIB (a/a) |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
PIB Nominal |
4.5 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
Population Active |
-0.6 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
Emplois |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
Emplois (variation en milliers) |
771 |
576 |
377 |
333 |
295 |
356 |
360 |
360 |
300 |
270 |
270 |
270 |
2459 |
1414 |
1244 |
2057 |
1371 |
1110 |
Taux de Chômage (%) |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Revenu Personnel Disponible |
4.8 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
Taux d'Épargne Personnelle (%) |
3.8 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Ind. des Prix à la Cons. (a/a) |
3.2 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
IPC Global (a/a) |
3.8 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
Indice des Prix PCE (a/a) |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Mises en Chantier (millions) |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Production Horaire Réelle (a/a)** |
2.9 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
Indicateurs Économiques pour le G7 et l’Europe
*Part du produit intérieur brut (PIB) mondial en 2022. Prévisions en date de septembre 2024.
Sources : Bureaux de statistiques nationaux, Services économiques TD.
|
2023 |
2024P |
2025P |
2026P |
PIB Réel (variation annuelle, en %) |
G7 (42.4%)* |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
États-Unis |
2.5 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
Japon |
1.7 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
Zone euro |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
Allemagne |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
France |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
Italie |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
Royaume-Uni |
0.1 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
Canada |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
Indice des Prix à la Consommation (variation annuelle, en %) |
G7 |
4.7 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
États-Unis |
4.1 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
Japon |
3.3 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
Zone euro |
5.4 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
Allemagne |
6.0 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
France |
5.7 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
Italie |
5.9 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
Royaume-Uni |
7.3 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
Canada |
3.9 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
Taux de Chômage (moyenne annuelles, en %) |
États-Unis |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
Japon |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
Zone euro |
6.6 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
Allemagne |
5.7 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
France |
7.4 |
7.5 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
Italie |
7.7 |
7.2 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
Royaume-Uni |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
Canada |
5.4 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
Perspectives Économiques Mondiales
[Variation Annuelle en % (Sauf Indication Contraire)]
* Part du PIB mondial en fonction de la parité des pouvoirs d'achat. Prévisions en date de septembre 2024.
** Les prévisions pour l'Inde sont pour l'exercice financier.
Sources : Fonds Monétaire International, Services économiques TD.
Part du PIB mondial en 2022 |
Prévisions |
PIB réel |
(%) |
2024P |
2025P |
2026P |
Monde |
100.0 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
Amérique du Nord |
18.9 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
États-Unis |
15.5 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
Canada |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
Mexique |
1.9 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
Union Européene (UE-28) |
14.9 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
Zone Euro (UE-19) |
12.0 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
Allemagne |
3.3 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
France |
2.3 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
Italie |
1.9 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
Pays Adhérents |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
Royaume-Uni |
2.3 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
Asie |
45.0 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
Japon |
3.8 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
APIN |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
Hong Kong |
0.3 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
Corée |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
Singapour |
0.4 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
Taiwan |
1.0 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
Russie |
2.9 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
Australie et Nouvelle-Zélande |
1.2 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
Pays d'Asie en Voie de Développement |
32.8 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
ASEAN-5 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
Chine |
18.4 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
Inde** |
7.3 |
6.5 |
6.7 |
6.5 |
Amérique Centrale et Amérique du Sud |
5.4 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
Brésil |
2.3 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
Autres Pays en Voie de Développement |
12.7 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
Autres Pays industrialisés |
3.4 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
3.2 |
Royaume-Uni |
2.3 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
Perspectives à l’égard des ventes et des prix des propriétés.
[Croissance annuelle moyenne, %]
Source : ACI, SCHL et Services économiques TD; prévisions des Services économiques TD, septembre 2024.
Provinces |
Ventes de propriétés |
Prix des propriétés |
2024P |
2025P |
2026P |
2024P |
2025P |
2026P |
Échelle nationale |
5.4 |
16.6 |
4.4 |
1.3 |
6.9 |
3.6 |
Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador |
2.2 |
7.7 |
4.5 |
8.1 |
4.9 |
2.1 |
Île-du-Prince-Édouard |
2.8 |
5.0 |
3.6 |
2.0 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
Nouvelle-Écosse |
5.3 |
13.1 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
Nouveau-Brunswick |
3.2 |
9.8 |
3.2 |
9.0 |
4.6 |
3.1 |
Québec |
13.9 |
9.5 |
1.7 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
3.1 |
Ontario |
1.5 |
23.9 |
5.9 |
-0.4 |
4.6 |
3.1 |
Manitoba |
9.4 |
7.6 |
2.9 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
3.3 |
Saskatchewan |
6.7 |
11.0 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
6.2 |
4.3 |
Alberta |
9.9 |
8.5 |
2.5 |
9.8 |
7.0 |
3.6 |
Colombie-Britannique |
-0.1 |
23.2 |
6.4 |
1.4 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
Disclaimer
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