Perspectives
Économiques Américaines |
Variation Annualisée en Pourcentage d'une Période à l’autre,
Sauf Indication Contraire |
Indicateurs économiques |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
Moy.
Annuelle |
T4/T4 |
T1 |
T2 |
T3 |
T4 |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
20 |
21P |
22P |
20 |
21P |
22P |
PIB Réel |
-5.0 |
-31.4 |
33.4 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
7.0 |
6.8 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
-3.5 |
5.7 |
4.3 |
-2.4 |
6.0 |
2.9 |
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Dépenses de
Consommation |
-6.9 |
-33.2 |
41.0 |
2.4 |
4.7 |
6.6 |
7.1 |
6.1 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
-3.9 |
5.9 |
5.0 |
-2.6 |
6.1 |
3.8 |
Biens Durables |
-12.5 |
-1.7 |
82.7 |
-0.6 |
18.1 |
-4.4 |
6.0 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
6.4 |
12.0 |
3.4 |
11.8 |
5.7 |
3.4 |
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Investiss. Fixe non
Résidentiel |
-6.7 |
-27.2 |
22.9 |
14.0 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
-4.0 |
7.3 |
5.7 |
-1.2 |
6.6 |
5.0 |
Structures non
Résidentielles |
-3.7 |
-33.6 |
-17.4 |
1.1 |
3.3 |
7.1 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
-10.6 |
-2.8 |
1.2 |
-14.5 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
Équipements
et PPI* |
-7.5 |
-25.2 |
36.6 |
17.4 |
8.5 |
4.9 |
9.2 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
6.1 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
-2.0 |
10.0 |
6.8 |
2.6 |
7.6 |
5.7 |
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Investissement
Résidentiel |
19.0 |
-35.5 |
63.0 |
35.8 |
18.9 |
6.9 |
-0.7 |
-3.4 |
-4.4 |
-4.7 |
-2.9 |
-2.6 |
6.0 |
15.2 |
-2.9 |
14.1 |
5.1 |
-3.7 |
Dépenses Publiques |
1.3 |
2.5 |
-4.8 |
-1.1 |
8.6 |
6.9 |
0.2 |
-0.6 |
0.7 |
-2.2 |
-0.1 |
-0.6 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
0.0 |
-0.6 |
3.7 |
-0.6 |
Demande Intérieure Finale |
-4.6 |
-27.1 |
29.8 |
4.4 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
-2.7 |
5.9 |
3.9 |
-1.5 |
5.7 |
2.8 |
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Exportations |
-9.5 |
-64.4 |
59.6 |
21.8 |
6.4 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
7.8 |
5.9 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
-13.0 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
-11.0 |
7.7 |
5.8 |
Importations |
-15.0 |
-54.1 |
93.0 |
29.6 |
11.6 |
9.9 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
5.5 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
-9.3 |
15.1 |
5.7 |
-0.6 |
9.9 |
3.1 |
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Variation des |
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stocks
des Entreprises |
-80.9 |
-287.0 |
-3.7 |
48.0 |
16.7 |
52.9 |
121.6 |
159.9 |
167.6 |
158.5 |
141.5 |
122.6 |
-80.9 |
87.8 |
147.6 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Ventes Finales |
-3.6 |
-28.1 |
25.9 |
3.0 |
5.6 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
-2.9 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
-2.7 |
5.3 |
3.1 |
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Solde Courant |
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International (G $) |
-446 |
-645 |
-714 |
-753 |
-771 |
-818 |
-833 |
-848 |
-846 |
-826 |
-801 |
-773 |
-640 |
-818 |
-812 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
% du PIB |
-2.1 |
-3.3 |
-3.4 |
-3.5 |
-3.5 |
-3.7 |
-3.6 |
-3.6 |
-3.6 |
-3.4 |
-3.3 |
-3.1 |
-3.1 |
-3.6 |
-3.4 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Bénéf. des Entrepr.
avant Impôts |
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(incluant
la TVA et la DDA) |
-39.9 |
-35.2 |
163.1 |
-37.1 |
20.4 |
49.9 |
3.3 |
-8.2 |
9.0 |
5.2 |
3.3 |
0.4 |
-8.3 |
13.3 |
4.9 |
-10.4 |
14.4 |
4.4 |
% du PIB |
9.4 |
9.4 |
11.0 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.7 |
10.6 |
10.2 |
10.2 |
10.2 |
10.2 |
10.1 |
9.9 |
10.3 |
10.2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Déflateur du PIB (a/a) |
1.7 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
PIB Nominal |
-3.4 |
-32.8 |
38.4 |
6.1 |
8.4 |
9.2 |
9.4 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
-2.3 |
8.2 |
6.7 |
-1.2 |
8.5 |
5.5 |
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Population Active |
-1.4 |
-13.2 |
5.6 |
0.7 |
-0.8 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
-1.7 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
-2.3 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
Emplois |
0.3 |
-40.0 |
23.3 |
5.1 |
1.3 |
6.3 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
-5.7 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
-6.0 |
4.2 |
2.8 |
Emplois (variation en milliers) |
132 |
-18,201 |
7,195 |
1,759 |
448 |
2,195 |
1,730 |
1,564 |
1,442 |
1,161 |
896 |
633 |
-8,648 |
3,717 |
5,506 |
-9,115 |
5,937 |
4,132 |
Taux de Chômage (%) |
3.8 |
13.0 |
8.8 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
8.1 |
5.7 |
4.1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Revenu Personnel Disponible |
3.9 |
46.2 |
-14.4 |
-8.6 |
28.0 |
29.9 |
-30.6 |
-2.3 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
7.0 |
5.3 |
0.0 |
4.4 |
3.0 |
5.3 |
Taux d'Épargne Personnelle (%) |
9.6 |
26.0 |
15.7 |
13.0 |
16.8 |
20.4 |
10.8 |
8.4 |
8.3 |
8.1 |
8.1 |
7.9 |
16.1 |
14.1 |
8.1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Ind. des Prix à la Cons. (a/a) |
2.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
IPC Global (a/a) |
2.2 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
Indice des Prix PCE (a/a) |
1.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
Mises en Chantier (millions) |
1.48 |
1.08 |
1.43 |
1.59 |
1.58 |
1.58 |
1.57 |
1.56 |
1.54 |
1.53 |
1.52 |
1.51 |
1.40 |
1.57 |
1.53 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Production Horaire Réelle (a/a)** |
0.8 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
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* Produits de propriété intellectuelle. ** Secteur non
agricole. P = Prévisions des Services
économiques TD en date de mars 2021. |
Sources :
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S.
Census Bureau, Services économiques TD. |
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