| Perspectives
Économiques Canadiennes |
| Variation Annualisée en Pourcentage d'une Période à l’autre,
Sauf Indication Contraire |
| Indicateurs économiques |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
Moy.
Annuelle |
T4/T4 |
| T1 |
T2 |
T3 |
T4 |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
T1P |
T2P |
T3P |
T4P |
20 |
21P |
22P |
20 |
21P |
22P |
| PIB
réel |
-7.5 |
-38.5 |
40.6 |
9.6 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
-5.4 |
6.0 |
3.9 |
-3.2 |
5.0 |
2.7 |
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| Dépenses de
Consommation |
-7.1 |
-45.6 |
63.4 |
-0.4 |
2.6 |
5.5 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
5.0 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
-6.1 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
-4.8 |
5.6 |
3.3 |
| Biens Durables |
-30.8 |
-46.0 |
279.8 |
-0.7 |
-2.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
-3.7 |
12.1 |
1.0 |
9.0 |
-0.1 |
1.2 |
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| Investiss. Fixe non
Résidentiel |
-4.1 |
-50.9 |
25.6 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
6.6 |
9.2 |
8.3 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
-11.6 |
2.8 |
6.7 |
-11.5 |
7.0 |
5.5 |
| Structures non
Résidentielles |
0.0 |
-48.8 |
-0.8 |
-10.2 |
5.3 |
7.2 |
9.8 |
9.9 |
8.8 |
8.6 |
7.6 |
6.4 |
-11.2 |
-2.2 |
8.7 |
-17.8 |
8.1 |
7.8 |
| Équipements et PPI* |
-8.5 |
-53.1 |
61.8 |
19.4 |
3.1 |
5.9 |
8.5 |
6.7 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
-12.0 |
7.9 |
4.8 |
-4.6 |
6.0 |
3.2 |
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| Investissement
Résidentiel |
-2.2 |
-49.2 |
191.4 |
18.4 |
8.5 |
0.5 |
-2.8 |
-4.4 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
3.9 |
14.0 |
-0.2 |
14.4 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
| Dépenses Publiques |
-1.4 |
-15.8 |
19.7 |
6.1 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
-0.3 |
3.8 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
| Demande Intérieure
Finale |
-4.9 |
-39.9 |
52.8 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
6.0 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
-4.5 |
5.3 |
3.8 |
-2.5 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
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| Exportations |
-10.4 |
-54.2 |
73.1 |
5.0 |
8.5 |
9.6 |
9.1 |
9.1 |
7.6 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
-9.8 |
8.4 |
6.4 |
-7.1 |
9.1 |
4.1 |
| Importations |
-8.5 |
-64.9 |
118.8 |
10.8 |
4.2 |
5.9 |
9.1 |
10.2 |
7.6 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
-11.3 |
8.9 |
6.9 |
-6.0 |
7.3 |
5.0 |
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| Variation des Stocks |
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| non Agricoles (2012,
G $) |
0.2 |
-34.9 |
-30.7 |
-1.9 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
0.2 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
-16.8 |
0.7 |
3.9 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Ventes Finales |
-3.2 |
-35.3 |
52.9 |
-3.4 |
3.1 |
4.4 |
5.8 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
-2.9 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
-1.9 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
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| Solde Courant |
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| International (G $) |
-65.4 |
-34.3 |
-42.0 |
-29.0 |
-8.2 |
5.9 |
8.5 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
1.7 |
-0.8 |
-3.3 |
-42.7 |
2.9 |
0.5 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| % du PIB |
-2.9 |
-1.7 |
-1.9 |
-1.3 |
-0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-1.9 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Bénéf. des Entrepr.
avant Impôts |
-35.2 |
-47.0 |
253.5 |
-2.7 |
-7.0 |
39.2 |
28.2 |
17.2 |
15.7 |
8.3 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
-6.1 |
21.2 |
14.8 |
4.3 |
18.1 |
7.9 |
| % du PIB |
11.5 |
11.1 |
13.7 |
13.2 |
12.6 |
13.4 |
14.0 |
14.3 |
14.6 |
14.7 |
14.7 |
14.7 |
12.4 |
13.6 |
14.7 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Indice du PIB (a/a) |
0.6 |
-0.7 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
4.2 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
4.4 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
| PIB Nominal |
-11.0 |
-40.2 |
54.6 |
14.3 |
9.7 |
9.2 |
9.0 |
6.6 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
-4.6 |
10.6 |
6.1 |
-1.5 |
8.6 |
4.7 |
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| Population Active |
-2.9 |
-16.8 |
21.0 |
3.7 |
-1.7 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
-1.1 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
| Emplois |
-5.5 |
-38.2 |
38.5 |
9.9 |
-0.5 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
-5.1 |
5.1 |
2.7 |
-2.9 |
4.2 |
1.1 |
| Emplois (variation en
milliers) |
-268 |
-2133 |
1412 |
433 |
-25 |
341 |
303 |
155 |
73 |
58 |
49 |
38 |
-975 |
918 |
504 |
-556 |
773 |
219 |
| Taux de Chômage (%) |
6.4 |
13.1 |
10.1 |
8.8 |
8.5 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
9.6 |
7.2 |
6.1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Revenu Personnel
Disponible |
5.9 |
57.0 |
-15.7 |
-3.8 |
-1.6 |
-3.7 |
-3.3 |
1.2 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
10.0 |
-1.6 |
2.6 |
7.7 |
-1.9 |
4.3 |
| Taux d'Épargne
Personnelle (%) |
5.1 |
27.8 |
13.7 |
12.7 |
11.2 |
8.6 |
5.2 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
14.8 |
7.1 |
2.6 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Ind. des Prix à la
Cons. (a/a) |
1.7 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
0.8 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
| Indice de Référence
(a/a) ** |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
| Inflation BdC (a/a)
*** |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
0.0 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
0.0 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
| Mises en Chantier
(milliers) |
207 |
191 |
239 |
239 |
255 |
247 |
238 |
229 |
223 |
218 |
211 |
205 |
219 |
242 |
214 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Prix de l'Immobilier
Résidentiel (a/a) |
13.9 |
2.8 |
16.3 |
15.5 |
24.7 |
36.5 |
15.0 |
11.5 |
0.0 |
-4.6 |
-5.3 |
-4.4 |
12.2 |
21.2 |
-3.6 |
15.5 |
11.5 |
-4.4 |
| PIB Réel / Travailleur
(a/a) |
0.0 |
-0.5 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
-0.3 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
-0.3 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
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| P :
Prévisions des Services économiques TD en date de mars 2021. |
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La mesure
des prix de l'immobilier résidentiel affichée est le prix de vente moyen
composé de l'ACI.
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| * Produits
de propriété intellectuelle. ** IPC excluant les 8 composants les plus
volatils. *** Moyenne simple de l'IPC-tronq, l'IPC-méd et l'IPC-comm. |
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| Sources :
Statistique Canada, Banque du Canada, Société canadienne d'hypothèques et de
logement, Haver Analytics, Services économiques TD. |
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