Table 1: Economic & Financial Forecasts | |||
2019F | 2020F | 2021F | |
Real GDP (annual % change) | |||
Canada | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.1 |
U.S. | 2.3 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
Canada (rates, %) | |||
Overnight Target Rate | 1.75 | 0.25 | 0.75 |
2-yr Govt. Bond Yield | 1.69 | 0.80 | 1.50 |
10-yr Govt. Bond Yield | 1.70 | 1.05 | 1.75 |
U.S. (rates, %) | |||
Fed Funds Target Rate | 1.75 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
2-yr Govt. Bond Yield | 1.58 | 1.00 | 1.70 |
10-yr Govt. Bond Yield | 1.92 | 1.25 | 1.95 |
WTI ($US/bbl) | 57 | 45 | 52 |
Exchange Rate (USD per CAD) | 0.77 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
F: Forecast by TD Economics, March 2020; Forecasts for exchange rate and yields are end-of-period. Source: Bloomberg, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve. |