| Perspectives Économiques Américaines | ||||||||||||||||||
| Variation Annualisée en Pourcentage d'une Période à l’autre, Sauf Indication Contraire | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Moy. Annuelle | T4/T4 | ||||||||||||||
| T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T1P | T2P | T3P | T4P | T1P | T2P | T3P | T4P | 18 | 19P | 20P | 18 | 19P | 20P | |
| PIB Réel | 2.2 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Dépenses de Consommation | 0.5 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Biens Durables | -2.0 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 5.9 | -0.8 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| Investiss. Fixe non Résidentiel | 11.5 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 7.0 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Structures non Résidentielles | 13.9 | 14.5 | -3.4 | -4.2 | -0.4 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| Équipements et PPI* | 10.8 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 9.4 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Investissement Résidentiel | -3.4 | -1.4 | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1.4 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 1.4 | -3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Dépenses Publiques | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Demande Intérieure Finale | 1.9 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Exportations | 3.6 | 9.3 | -4.9 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Importations | 3.0 | -0.6 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Variation des | ||||||||||||||||||
| stocks des Entreprises | 30.3 | -36.8 | 89.8 | 97.1 | 81.0 | 69.4 | 72.1 | 75.6 | 76.7 | 73.5 | 69.3 | 67.5 | 45.1 | 74.5 | 71.7 | -- | -- | -- |
| Ventes Finales | 1.9 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Solde Courant | ||||||||||||||||||
| International (G $) | -487 | -405 | -499.3 | -539 | -547 | -559 | -580 | -604 | -626 | -647 | -668 | -690 | -483 | -573 | -658 | -- | -- | -- |
| % du PIB | -2.4 | -2.0 | -2.4 | -2.6 | -2.6 | -2.6 | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.9 | -2.9 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -2.4 | -2.7 | -2.9 | -- | -- | -- |
| Bénéf. des Entrepr. avant Impôts | ||||||||||||||||||
| (incluant la TVA et la DDA) | 5.0 | 12.5 | 14.7 | -6.8 | -0.1 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| % du PIB | 10.9 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 10.8 | 10.9 | 10.8 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 11.0 | 10.8 | 10.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| Déflateur du PIB (a/a) | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| PIB Nominal | 4.3 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Population Active | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Emplois | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Emplois (variation en milliers) | 641 | 694 | 667 | 648 | 516 | 464 | 376 | 415 | 341 | 529 | 38 | 191 | 2,453 | 2,149 | 1,420 | 2,650 | 1,771 | 1,099 |
| Taux de Chômage (%) | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.7 | -- | -- | -- |
| Revenu Personnel Disponible | 7.0 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Taux d'Épargne Personnelle (%) | 7.2 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.6 | -- | -- | -- |
| Ind. des Prix à la Cons. (a/a) | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| IPC Global (a/a) | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Indice des Prix PCE (a/a) | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Mises en Chantier (millions) | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.23 | 1.17 | 1.22 | 1.23 | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.27 | -- | -- | -- |
| Production Horaire Réelle (a/a)*** | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| * Produits de propriété intellectuelle. ** Secteur non agricole. P = Prévisions des Services économiques TD en date de mars 2019. | ||||||||||||||||||
| Note : le solde courant international et les bénéfices des entreprises pour le T4 de 2018 sont encore des prévisions. | ||||||||||||||||||
| Sources : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau, Services économiques TD. | ||||||||||||||||||