TD Economics Key Financial Forecasts
  Current Rate 2023 2024 2025
  7/26/24 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3F Q4F Q1F Q2F Q3F Q4F
Fed Funds Target Rate 5.50 5.00 5.25 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.25 5.00 4.75 4.25 3.75 3.25
2-yr Govt. Bond Yield 4.38 4.06 4.87 5.03 4.23 4.59 4.71 4.25 4.05 3.75 3.45 3.15 3.00
10-yr Govt. Bond Yield 4.20 3.48 3.81 4.59 3.88 4.20 4.36 4.10 3.95 3.80 3.65 3.50 3.45
30-yr Govt. Bond Yield 4.46 3.67 3.85 4.73 4.03 4.34 4.51 4.30 4.20 4.10 3.95 3.80 3.75
Forecast by TD Economics as of July 2024; all forecasts are end-of-period. Source: Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Board, TD Economics.