TD Economics Key Financial Forecasts
  Current Rate 2024 2025 2026
  12/19/25 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4F Q1F Q2F Q3F Q4F
Fed Funds Target Rate 3.75 5.50 5.50 5.00 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.25 3.75 3.75 3.50 3.25 3.25
2-yr Govt. Bond Yield 3.48 4.59 4.71 3.66 4.25 3.89 3.72 3.60 3.60 3.50 3.35 3.35 3.35
10-yr Govt. Bond Yield 4.13 4.20 4.36 3.81 4.58 4.23 4.24 4.16 4.15 4.05 4.00 4.00 4.00
30-yr Govt. Bond Yield 4.81 4.34 4.51 4.14 4.78 4.59 4.78 4.73 4.75 4.60 4.50 4.50 4.50
Forecast by TD Economics as of December 2025; all forecasts are end-of-period. Source: Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Board, TD Economics.