TD Economics Key Financial Forecasts
  Current Rate 2024 2025 2026
  8/22/25 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3F Q4F Q1F Q2F Q3F Q4F
Fed Funds Target Rate 4.50 5.50 5.50 5.00 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.25 3.75 3.75 3.25 3.25 3.25
2-yr Govt. Bond Yield 3.69 4.59 4.71 3.66 4.25 3.89 3.72 3.76 3.51 3.30 3.25 3.25 3.25
10-yr Govt. Bond Yield 4.26 4.20 4.36 3.81 4.58 4.23 4.24 4.27 4.10 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00
30-yr Govt. Bond Yield 4.88 4.34 4.51 4.14 4.78 4.59 4.78 4.85 4.50 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30
Forecast by TD Economics as of August 2025; all forecasts are end-of-period. Source: Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Board, TD Economics.