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Feature
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
In just four weeks since assuming office, President Trump has issued a record number of executive orders (EOs) and is spinning markets with new tariff announcements by the day. No surprise, this quarter's Q&A is dominated by discussions on potential impacts.
February 19, 2025
Latest Research
U.S. East Coast Trade Exposure: Less is More When Tariffs Hang in the Balance
Canada, Mexico, China and the EU are America’s top trading partners. The potential for tariffs raises uncertainty for many industries along the East Coast. The impact of tariffs will not be borne equally by all states.
February 13, 2025
Trending
Update on U.S. Steel and Aluminum Tariffs
The White House has announced the restoration of Section 232 Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum that were originally imposed in 2018. The rate on steel will return to the 25% implemented in 2018, while the rate on aluminum will rise to 25%, from 10% previously.
February 12, 2025
Latest Research
Reality Bites: Finding the Next U.S. Growth Dividend
With executive orders flying fast and furious from President Trump, investor optimism of an unleashing in animal spirits is kept in check by the reality of simple arithmetic on the economy. The median consensus forecast remains anchored towards 2% economic growth for this year and next. This marks a step down in momentum from the administration years of both Biden and Trump’s first term. Each of those three-year periods had near identical real GDP growth, averaging 2.7%, excluding the exaggerate
January 29, 2025
Latest Research
Potential Hazards Ahead: Trade Risks in the North American Automotive Industry
The automotive industry accounts for over 10% of intraregional trade in North America, equating to hundreds of billions of dollars in cross-border trade flows and millions of jobs. Proposed blanket tariffs of 25% on Canada and Mexico, if retaliated against in equal measure, would likely result in a material contraction in vehicle sales in all three North American nations as price increases would ripple through supply chains.
January 28, 2025
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Updated Publications
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
February 19, 2025
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
February 14, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
December 18, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
December 17, 2024
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Next
Updated Publications
Questions? We've Got Answers: Addressing Issues Impacting the Economic and Financial Outlook
February 19, 2025
Updated Publications
Weekly Bottom Line
February 14, 2025
Updated Publications
Long-Term Forecast
December 18, 2024
Updated Publications
State Economic Forecast
December 17, 2024
View more updated publications
Latest Research
Latest Research
U.S. East Coast Trade Exposure: Less is More When Tariffs Hang in the Balance
February 13, 2025
Latest Research
Reality Bites: Finding the Next U.S. Growth Dividend
January 29, 2025
Latest Research
Potential Hazards Ahead: Trade Risks in the North American Automotive Industry
January 28, 2025
Latest Research
Medicaid Unlikely to Dodge the DOGE
January 22, 2025
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Next
Latest Research
U.S. East Coast Trade Exposure: Less is More When Tariffs Hang in the Balance
February 13, 2025
Latest Research
Reality Bites: Finding the Next U.S. Growth Dividend
January 29, 2025
Latest Research
Potential Hazards Ahead: Trade Risks in the North American Automotive Industry
January 28, 2025
Latest Research
Medicaid Unlikely to Dodge the DOGE
January 22, 2025
View more latest research
Commentaries
Commentaries
U.S. FOMC Meeting Minutes (January 28-29, 2025)
February 19, 2025
Real Estate
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (January 2025)
February 19, 2025
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (January 2025)
February 14, 2025
Commentaries
U.S. Consumer Price Index (January 2025)
February 12, 2025
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Commentaries
U.S. FOMC Meeting Minutes (January 28-29, 2025)
February 19, 2025
Real Estate
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (January 2025)
February 19, 2025
Consumer
U.S. Retail Sales (January 2025)
February 14, 2025
Commentaries
U.S. Consumer Price Index (January 2025)
February 12, 2025
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